## [ Politics ] Open question: W Bush barely won in 2000, but with a strong economy, he won 12 million votes and won a landslide in 2004. Will history repeat itself with Trump?

[Politics] Open question: W Bush barely won in 2000 but with a strong economy won 12 million votes and won a landslide in 2004. Will history repeat itself with Trump?

## tracing – high r square but strong residue pattern

I analyze the evolution of the total number of users over time. It is obvious that a linear regression corresponds to the data. The r squared is then also 0.9961.

Now the problem: a trace of the residues shows the presence of a pattern. This should not be the case if the model was correct.

Does anyone have experience in solving this problem? I tried adjusting the time series model, which gave me a random walk model (ARIMA 0.1,0) but I am unable to find the coefficients of this model, which is exactly what I need.

Thank you.

## bip 32 hd wallets – Why can't a strong xpub key generate a public child key?

Uncured parents effectively use the public key to derive their children, where hardened parents derive their children from the private key.

Deriving a child private key from an unenforced parent private key `k` uses the following hash function:

``````HMAC-SHA512(chainCode, point(k) || i)
``````

We know that `K = point(k)`, or `K` is the parent public key. So if we only know `K` and not necessarily `k`, we can always derive the child key by replacing `point(k)` with `K`and follow the normal process.

With reinforced private keys, hashing is done differently:

``````HMAC-SHA512(chainCode, 0x00 || k || i)
``````

Here you can see that there is no way to calculate this hmac without knowing it `k`. Just know the public key `K` will not help.

It looks like you should be using the `deriveHardened` operate in bitcoinjs rather than in clear `derive`.

## lo.logic – How strong is the consistency of adding this ordinal reflection pattern on top of Ackermann's set theory?

Axiomatic diagram of ordinal reflection: if $$phi$$ is a formula that does not use the symbol $$V$$, whose parameters are among $$x_1, .., x_n$$; then: $$forall x_1 in V, dotsc, forall x_n in V: phi (On) to \ forall c subseteq On \ (c = { alpha in On | phi ( alpha) } lor bigcup (c) = On to | c | = On);$$ is an axiom.

Or: $$On = { alpha in V | operatorname {ordinal} ( alpha) };$$ and "$$| c |$$"means class cardinality $$c$$, defined as the least von Neumann ordinal class bijective to $$c$$.

Add this axiom on top of Ackermann's set theory.

How strong would the resulting theory be?

## lo.logic – How strong is the consistency of adding this ordinal reflection pattern on top of Ackermann's set theory?

Axiomatic diagram of ordinal reflection: if $$phi$$ is a formula that does not use the symbol $$V$$, whose parameters are among $$x_1, .., x_n$$; then: $$forall x_1 in V, .., forall x_n in V: phi (On) to \ forall c subseteq On \ (c = { alpha in On | phi ( alpha) } lor bigcup (c) = On to | c | = On)$$; is an axiom.

Or: $$On = { alpha in V | ordinal ( alpha) }$$; and $$“ | c | "$$ means class cardinality $$c$$, defined as the least von Neumann ordinal class bijective to $$c$$.

Add this axiom on top of Ackermann's set theory.

How strong would the resulting theory be?

## Why is the economy so strong? I remember that Trump being elected would mean recession and disaster?

It's just the dream of the Democrats, as America enters recession. Set aside the fact that Trump has produced one of the largest stock markets in history; The GDP is way above Obama or Jimmy Carter, both of whom have produced disastrous economies that have almost destroyed the middle class; 3.5% unemployment is the lowest in 50 years; as many Americans work in history; and unemployment among blacks and Latinos is the lowest in history.

## [Vn5socks.net] Automatic update 24/7 – Good socks 8:00 AM

LIVE ~ 220.79.34.109:2018 | 0.092 | Seoul | 11 | Unknown | Korea, Republic of | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 139.162.76.176:9050 | 0.064 | Rotterdam | 11 | Unknown | Netherlands | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 80.211.71.44:7008 | 0.226 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Denmark | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 166.62.118.88:17993 | 0.391 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 91.98.60.127:9999 | 0,357 | Pars | 26 | Unknown | Iran [Islamic Republic of | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 166.62.118.146:41300 | 0.472 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 178.159.36.10:9050 | 0,278 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Ukraine | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 95.170.77.200:2010 | 0.257 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Netherlands | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 166.62.120.114:55706 | 0.503 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 47.94.244.27:7302 | 0,103 | Ottawa | SURE | k1y4h7 | Canada | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 167.71.191.155:9060 | 0.34 | New York | New York | 10020 | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 157.230.9.227:9050 | 0.257 | Duluth | Georgia | 30097 | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 94.103.81.13:9050 | 0.281 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Russian Federation | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 103.86.49.154:10129 | 0.14 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 167.99.60.252:9050 | 0,265 | Fort Worth | TX | 76104 | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 178.62.193.217:3130 | 0.316 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Russian Federation | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 207.148.30.112:9050 | 0.302 | Yellowknife | NT | x1a2n3 | Canada | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 72.217.158.195:54810 | 0,295 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net

FireHeaven
Reviewed by FireHeaven sure
.
[Vn5socks.net] Automatic update 24/7 – Good socks 8:00 AM
LIVE ~ 220.79.34.109:2018 | 0,092 | Seoul | 11 | Unknown | Korea, Republic of | Verified on vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 139.162.76.176:9050 | 0,064 | Rotterdam | 11 | Unknown | Netherlands | Verified on vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 80.211.71.44:7008 | 0.226 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Denmark | Verified on vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 166.62.118.88:17993 | 0,391 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Verified on vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 91.98.60.127:9999 | 0.357 | Pars | 26 | Unknown |

Evaluation: 5

.

## [Vn5socks.net] Automatic update 24/7 – Good socks 22h25

LIVE ~ 103.86.49.154:10129 | 0.154 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 47.94.244.27:7302 | 0.073 | Ottawa | SURE | k1y4h7 | Canada | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 80.211.71.44:7008 | 0.222 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Denmark | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 72.217.158.195:54810 | 0,314 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 139.162.76.176:9050 | 0.088 | Rotterdam | 11 | Unknown | Netherlands | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 220.79.34.109:2018 | 0.132 | Seoul | 11 | Unknown | Korea, Republic of | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 178.159.36.10:9050 | 0.312 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Ukraine | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 95.170.77.200:2010 | 0.341 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Netherlands | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 91.98.60.127:9999 | 0.409 | Pars | 26 | Unknown | Iran [Islamic Republic of | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 172.104.67.157:9050 | 0.064 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 167.71.191.155:9060 | 0.287 | New York | New York | 10020 | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 94.103.81.13:9050 | 0.28 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Russian Federation | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 157.230.9.227:9050 | 0.287 | Duluth | Georgia | 30097 | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 167.99.60.252:9050 | 0.259 | Fort Worth | TX | 76104 | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 178.62.193.217:3130 | 0,275 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Russian Federation | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 207.148.30.112:9050 | 0.296 | Yellowknife | NT | x1a2n3 | Canada | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 167.71.191.155:9070 | 0.26 | New York | New York | 10020 | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 142.93.70.7:9100 | 0.259 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Canada | Checked at vn5socks.net

FireHeaven
Reviewed by FireHeaven sure
.
[Vn5socks.net] Automatic update 24/7 – Good socks 10:25 PM
LIVE ~ 103.86.49.154:10129 | 0,154 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Verified on vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 47.94.244.27:7302 | 0,073 | Ottawa | ON | k1y4h7 | Canada | Verified on vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 80.211.71.44:7008 | 0.222 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Denmark | Verified on vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 72.217.158.195:54810 | 0.314 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | United States | Verified on vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 139.162.76.176:9050 | 0,088 | Rotterdam | 11 | Unknown |

Evaluation: 5

.

## [Vn5socks.net] Automatic update 24/7 – Good socks 12:35 PM

LIVE ~ 103.86.49.154:10129 | 0.128 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 139.162.76.176:9050 | 0,101 | Rotterdam | 11 | Unknown | Netherlands | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 80.211.71.44:7008 | 0.259 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Denmark | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 220.79.34.109:2018 | 0.122 | Seoul | 11 | Unknown | Korea, Republic of | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 47.94.244.27:7302 | 0.083 | Ottawa | SURE | k1y4h7 | Canada | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 72.217.158.195:54810 | 0.312 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 91.98.60.127:9999 | 0.359 | Pars | 26 | Unknown | Iran [Islamic Republic of | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 178.159.36.10:9050 | 0.296 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Ukraine | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 95.170.77.200:2010 | 0.266 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Netherlands | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 172.104.67.157:9050 | 0.066 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 167.71.191.155:9060 | 0.277 | New York | New York | 10020 | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 167.99.60.252:9050 | 0.258 | Fort Worth | TX | 76104 | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 178.62.193.217:3130 | 0.268 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Russian Federation | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 167.71.191.155:9070 | 0.26 | New York | New York | 10020 | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 207.148.30.112:9050 | 0.306 | Yellowknife | NT | x1a2n3 | Canada | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 142.93.70.7:9100 | 0.258 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Canada | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 166.62.120.114:4926 | 0.477 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Checked at vn5socks.net

FireHeaven
Reviewed by FireHeaven sure
.
[Vn5socks.net] Automatic update 24/7 – Good socks 12:35 PM
LIVE ~ 103.86.49.154:10129 | 0,128 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Verified on vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 139.162.76.176:9050 | 0,101 | Rotterdam | 11 | Unknown | Netherlands | Verified on vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 80.211.71.44:7008 | 0,259 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Denmark | Verified on vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 220.79.34.109:2018 | 0,122 | Seoul | 11 | Unknown | Korea, Republic of | Verified on vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 47.94.244.27:7302 | 0,083 | Ottawa | ON | k1y4h7 |

Evaluation: 5

.

## [Vn5socks.net] Automatic update 24 hours a day, 7 days a week – good socks

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LIVE ~ 220.79.34.109:2018 | 0,103 | Seoul | 11 | Unknown | Korea, Republic of | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 95.170.77.200:2010 | 0.259 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Netherlands | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 47.94.244.27:7302 | 0,061 | Ottawa | SURE | k1y4h7 | Canada | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 167.71.191.155:9070 | 0,263 | New York | New York | 10020 | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 199.247.22.236:33244 | 0.253 | Yellowknife | NT | x1a2n3 | Canada | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 167.71.191.155:9060 | 0.279 | New York | New York | 10020 | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 178.159.36.10:9050 | 0.273 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Ukraine | Checked at vn5socks.net
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LIVE ~ 167.99.60.252:9050 | 0.258 | High value | TX | 76104 | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
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LIVE ~ 157.230.9.227:9050 | 0.257 | Duluth | Georgia | 30097 | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 91.98.60.127:9999 | 0.358 | Pars | 26 | Unknown | Iran [Islamic Republic of | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 178.62.193.217:3130 | 0.256 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Russian Federation | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 68.183.246.73:9050 | 0.224 | Los Angeles | California | Unknown | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 207.148.30.112:9050 | 0.306 | Yellowknife | NT | x1a2n3 | Canada | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 166.62.120.114:4926 | 0.478 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 70.168.93.218:17026 | 0.317 | Santa Barbara | California | Unknown | United States | Checked at vn5socks.net

FireHeaven
Reviewed by FireHeaven sure
.
[Vn5socks.net] Automatic update 24h / 24 and 7/7 – good socks 9h10
LIVE ~ 139.162.76.176:9050 | 0,066 | Rotterdam | 11 | Unknown | Netherlands | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 220.79.34.109:2018 | 0,103 | Seoul | 11 | Unknown | Korea, Republic of | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 95.170.77.200:2010 | 0,259 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Netherlands | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 47.94.244.27:7302 | 0,061 | Ottawa | ON | k1y4h7 | Canada | Checked at vn5socks.net
LIVE ~ 167.71.191.155:9070 | 0,263 | New York | NY | 10020 |

Evaluation: 5

.